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عکس مقاله نقشه راه برجامی آمریکا يا و هشدارِ
Faculty Member at University of Tehran۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Alireza Khosravi۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

US JCPOA Roadmap and Warning of Strategic Deception
(Possibility of Repetition of JCPOA Cycle)

After more than three years since the withdrawal of the United States from JCPOA and the application of maximum pressure against the Iranian nation and a few months since the beginning of Biden’s presidency, and in the face of active and maximum resistance of the regime against this pressure and finally official announcement The Supreme Leader of the Revolution has set the preconditions for the lifting of all US sanctions and its verification for Iran’s reciprocal return to the UN Security Council, indications of the US return to the UN Security Council and the reduction of pressure, although in the current situation and Tangible disturbances and intense and tangible livelihood pressures should be welcomed. At the same time, it makes the need for realistic forecasting and estimation to adopt a clever agenda to prevent strategic deception inevitable. And therefore, the design of this fundamental question validates whether the previous version of the story of JCPOA may be repeated?! My answer to this question from the American point of view is definitely positive, but this possibility does not mean feasibility, because on this side a precious experience has been produced and it is not permissible for a snakebite to be bitten again through a hole. And politicking is not rushing and internal consensus. It is stated at the outset that what I mean by the unpleasant image of JCPOA is not the denial or endorsement of JCPOA, but the emphasis on the unpleasantness of the image left by JCPOA in the period that has passed – except for a short period – now we want to Let’s look to the future and realize our national and strategic interests, assuming the desire to maintain order.

عکس مقاله   روایت و آینده کُنش جمعی در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری 1400
Master of Regional Studies۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Alireza Khoramrooz۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Violence accumulation and the future of participation in the
۱۴۰۰ presidential election

Activism in the field of presidential elections has behavioral and normative requirements, and if it is institutionalized, we will see an increase in participation. A positive view of these norms is only half the way to the political arena, and the other half is the negative aspects that negatively affect activism. Violence as a counter-action affects the political processes that lead to participation. Violence in this article is not meant to mean physical conflict but to its psychological and internalized scale. In fact, the power and violence considered in this article are normative matters that have been removed from the physical dimension and published in public opinion. Therefore, addressing them requires a normative and value view. The main question of this article aims at the deterrent effects of the increase of institutionalized violence and analyzes the effect of the accumulation of violence on the future of participation in the presidential elections.Trends in institutionalized violence and its contexts of growth, as well as the negative effects it will have on political participation; this is one of the issues that will be addressed in this article. The need to reduce psychological violence in society to pave the way for political activism in the upcoming elections is one of the most important points that will be addressed.

عکس مقاله گرایش به شبکه اجتماعی کلاب هاوس
Cyberspace Think Tank۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Think Tanks۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Tendency to Clubhouse social network; Opportunities and threats

In recent years, social networks have had a significant impact on macro-normative and value changes in Iranian society. Creating an atmosphere of dialogue and dialogue between different political and social classes is another prominent feature of this issue. Among the various platforms used to communicate, Club House software has found a special place in recent months. Online audience and the possibility of borderless conversation is one of the most important reasons that has led to a significant increase in the trend towards this platform. Also, some security implications that can be challenging, such as paving the way for the enemy to gather information, are some of the challenges that need to be addressed. In this article, we will examine the opportunities and challenges facing the country in this field by examining the tendency towards this social network. Balance or imbalance between opportunities and challenges is one of the most important issues that should be considered about the future of using this software at the macro level. This article will address this issue with a strategic approach.

عکس مقاله ارتقای مناسبات بغداد-ریاض
PhD in Regional Studies۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Abulfazl Velayati۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Improving Baghdad-Riyadh relations and its consequences on the regional situation of Tehran

Political relations between Baghdad and Riyadh have seen many ups and downs over the past nine decades. Finally, almost three decades after the end of the Persian Gulf War, in April 2019, the Saudi consulate was reopened in Baghdad to improve relations with Iraq. Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s rise to power in Iraq following a series of internal protests was a golden opportunity for Saudi Arabia to take advantage of the tensions in Iraq and accuse Iran of being a key factor in the crisis to improve its political relations with Baghdad. This led to extensive contacts between Baghdad and Riyadh with the green light of Al-Kadhimi. The outcome of al-Kadhimi’s one-year record shows the undisputed influence of Saudi political, economic and cultural affairs in Iraq; A process that has led to relative changes in the balance of power within Iraq and relative changes in regional relations. In this article, while referring to the background of Iraqi-Saudi relations, the goals of the two sides in the field of promoting mutual relations and the consequences of this policy on the internal relations of Iraq and the situation in the regions of Iran will be mentioned. In the end, the possible futures in this direction will be discussed.

عکس مقاله برنامه همكاري جامع ایران و چین:
Foreign Policy Think Tank۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Think Tanks۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Comprehensive Iran-China Cooperation Program: Dimensions and
Prospects of Cooperation

The signing of the Iran-China Comprehensive Cooperation Plan, called the Iran-China Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Document, by the two countries’ foreign ministers is one of the key steps in bilateral relations over the past few decades. The document dates back to the official visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Tehran in February 2015, during which the Islamic Republic of Iran and the People’s Republic of China issued a statement raising the level of relations between the two countries to “comprehensive strategic partnership” and At the suggestion of the Iranian side in order to establish long-term relations with China for a period of 25 years, the parties in paragraph six of the said statement expressed their willingness and readiness to consult and negotiate a long-term cooperation document. Finally, after several years of consultations and the preparation of several drafts, the document was finalized and approved by the supreme authorities of the two countries. While the signing of this document has led to various reactions within the country and internationally, it has gained high importance and attention in the field of bilateral and international relations. Especially since the signing of this document by Iran’s landscape currency has been accompanied by a challenging and complicated process of returning to Borjam by Iran and the United States and has been presented as a case with influence in various fields. Given this important point, in this article, while briefly referring to the dimensions and opportunities of this document for the two countries, we will explain its possible prospects.

عکس مقاله عربستان سعودی و عراق: تحولات و چشم انداز روابط
Faculty member in the Institute for Humanities and Cultural Studies۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Ali Akbar Asadi۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Saudi Arabia and Iraq: Developments and Prospects for Relations

The visit of Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi to Saudi Arabia and the reaching of new agreements with Saudi officials to enhance relations between the two countries underscore the importance of new interactions between the two sides in the context of regional developments and conditions. Although al-Kadhimi’s initial visit to Saudi Arabia was canceled in the first months of his rule in 2020 due to the Saudi king’s boredom, successive interactions and meetings between officials between the two countries and the Iraqi prime minister’s visit to Riyadh show the importance of these relations for the two Arab states. While Riyadh took a negative approach to post-Saddam Iraq, during the reign of King Salman, a change in the Saudi approach and efforts to strengthen and improve relations with Iraq meant that Iraq’s regional relations and conditions and the equations governing the balance of power in the region Is facing changes in the Persian Gulf that can gradually change the political situation in the region. In particular, one of the key goals of the Saudis in expanding relations with Iraq is to counterbalance Iran in this area and reduce its influence and weaken ties between Baghdad and Tehran. Considering this important point, in this article, while referring to the background of Saudi-Iraqi relations, the developments and new conditions of these relations in the period of King Salman are explained and an attempt is made to provide points and considerations regarding the perspective of interactions between the two countries.

عکس مقاله امر کیا و چین در غرب آسیا: رو یکردها و رقابت ها
Foreign Policy Think Tank۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Think Tanks۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

United States and China in West Asia: Approaches and Competitions

West Asia has been a major competitor to the great powers for centuries. In the new international context, as the United States and China experience new rivalries as the two leading international powers, the question arises as to what approaches these two great powers have pursued in West Asia, and what Consequences such approaches and rivalries could have? Especially with the introduction of a strategic partnership agreement between Iran and China and the emergence of various reactions to it, the issue of what goals and views Washington and Beijing have in the region and how the rivalry between the two world powers can be structured has become more important. Change the power and geopolitical equations of the region. In this regard, in this article, while referring to the approaches of the United States and China in West Asia, we will explain the possible consequences of these policies and competitions.

عکس مقاله رون دهای جهانی و افق 2040 ( قسمت اول)
Horizon Institute for Strategic Futurology۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Institute۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Global Trends and 2040 Horizon (Part1)

The US National Intelligence Council publishes reports entitled Global Trends every four years, using a variety of data sources and forward-looking research approaches such as scenario development. A strategy illustrates the future. In this series of notes, we intend to provide a practical overview of this report, its most important points along with some strategic considerations and recommendations. The first note in the series is devoted to the stimuli and structural factors that make up the future image, with a focus on population and human development.

عکس مقاله تحلیل ریخت شناسی و آینده پژوهی سناریو محور (قسمت اول)
PhD Student of Industrial Engineering at Sharif University of Technology۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%
Hossein Shah Mohammadi Azar۱۰۰%
۱۰۰%

Morphological Analysis and Scenario-Based Futures Research (Part2)

The note in the previous issue of the monthly introduced the morphological analysis approach and the scope of this method. In this paper, the relationship between morphological analysis approach and futures research concepts, especially strategic scenario writing approach is considered. Examining the dimensions of this relationship and how to use the morphological analysis approach optimally in developing future scenarios is one of the topics discussed in this issue of methodological principles.

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